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What scared this mom about to host a sleepover with 13 teen girls? Their cellphones.

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When my daughter was born in 2005, managing cellphones at a sleepover wasn't even on my parenting radar. Thirteen birthdays later, I agreed to host a slumber party with 13 girls. They would play games, watch movies, eat ice cream and sleep in a giant pile on our living room floor. And cellphones were my main concern.

At 11 p.m., my daughter put out a bright pink basket and asked the 11 girls with phones to pass them over. Three phones appeared. I picked up the basket and walked around to groups of girls, still on their phones, and asked them to please put them in with the others. Five more phones. I put it on the table and made a general request, that anyone still holding a phone put it with the others, and I went to get ready for bed. Ten minutes later, I collected the phones from my daughter.

"There's nine," she said. "That's pretty good, right?"

Great. Somewhere, shoved under pillows or stuffed animals, were two remaining phones. I looked at my daughter's face and I could see her silently begging me not to make a scene, not to go on a search, not to embarrass her in the middle of her birthday party.

Parenting in the age of technology comes with its own set of challenges, and none is clearer to me, a newly minted parent of young teenagers, than how we regulate and monitor cellphone use.

The average age a child gets a cellphone is 10. According to research released by Nielsen in 2017, of the kids who have phones before 13, 45 percent get them between age 10 and 12, and 16 percent have phones when they are 8. By the teenage years, 95 percent of kids have access to a smartphone. All of this translates to more phones at younger ages, which means that phones are the norm in places where they used to be the exception. Places such as elementary and middle school sleepovers.

In the past two years, my daughter has been invited to parties that use phones for scavenger hunts, photos and making movies. But what happens at 2 a.m., when the games are done, and a parent is left with a group of kids, all with relatively unsupervised access to phones?

"What we see with sleepovers is what I would call diminished inhibition that comes with sleep deprivation," says Devorah Heitner, author of "Screenwise: Helping Kids Thrive (and Survive) in Their Digital World" and the blog Raising Digital Natives. "A kid who makes sensible decisions at 8 a.m. and 8 p.m. might not be the kid that makes sensible decisions after hours of junk food, of no sleep, of being kind of worn down by peers."

Our first experience with this late-night lapse in judgment came two years ago, when my son woke up to a text that said, "We have taken your sister." Funny to her friends, when sent from her phone in the middle of the night, but scary to my groggy son, who was convinced that his sister had been kidnapped. He calmed down only when we called his sister to show him she was fine. Plot twist: She was asleep, had no idea the text had been sent and felt terrible about it.

Beyond the sleep deprivation, kids are in a group with no exit at a sleepover, and trying to fit in with their friends.

"Group think might develop over time because you have the kids there for many hours. If a bunch of girls want to do something inappropriate, there might be peer pressure in a more negative direction," Heitner says.

Internet safety and cyberbullying have become hot topics for parents and tweens, and many parents use hardware or apps to cut off access to the Internet, thinking that will keep kids off adult sites and out of trouble. Limiting access doesn't curb the trouble caused by phones at sleepovers, though.

"Using someone else's phone to impersonate them, to send someone texts as them, or to share an embarrassing picture of someone sleeping - which is a situation that you can't get consent, so clearly you shouldn't be taking pictures of anyone when they're sleeping - you just shouldn't do that," Heitner says. "It's upsetting and it's a big violation."

Just ask my son.

What's the best way for parents to manage cellphones during a sleepover? Clearly, putting out a basket to collect them isn't the most effective strategy, as I learned.

"Parents need to step in and be the frontal lobe, the person who regulates the impulses," says Danny O'Rourke, a clinical psychologist in Seattle who works with adolescents and the author of the blog Knowing Anxiety. "I like the idea of putting it in the invitation ahead of time so they know they will be asked to hand in their phones, or individually ask kids to turn in their phones. You may be more successful because they know what to expect when you ask for the phone, and they would have to actively disobey a request."

And what if, like me, you learn that lesson a little bit late? I was staring at my daughter at 11:30 p.m., torn between concern about missing phones hidden overnight. I thought it had worked. But by the following night, I heard stories of texts sent to people who weren't invited, and of pictures taken of sleeping girls.

Parenting tweens and teens is a balancing act. A child in late elementary or middle school with a phone might look and act like a mini-adult; they might even claim to be one. But they're kids, and teaching responsible technology use in a group setting has been added to our parenting tasks. Maybe sleepovers are a good time to just let kids be kids, without the pressures of texts and social media, without forcing them to grow up faster and in ways we'd never considered 15 years ago.

“I think most families will be happy that you want to unplug the kids,” Heitner says. “They get all the risks of connectivity as well and how much fun it will be to be in a space to just relate to your friends and talk all night and whisper and tell jokes.”


A big stage awaits Utah QB Jason Shelley, and supporters say he has been ‘preparing his whole life’ for this

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As a toddler, Jason Shelley II would grab a football and stage his own games, even tackling himself.

That part won't be necessary Saturday, when Shelley will make his first start as a college quarterback and the visiting Oregon Ducks will supply the defense.

Shelley’s father and high school coach say Utah’s redshirt freshman QB has been “preparing his whole life” for this moment, and that’s barely an exaggeration. He was throwing touchdown passes in flag football as a 5-year-old, racing future Ute receiver Jaylen Dixon on the playground in fourth grade, quarterbacking Lone Star High School to the state championship game as a junior and using Twitter mainly to count down daily from 100 days to the Utes' 2018 season opener.

And then came the accelerated timetable of Shelley’s promotion to Utah’s No. 1 quarterback, when two-year starter Tyler Huntley was injured in last Saturday’s 38-20 loss at Arizona State and declared out for at least the regular season. Wins against Oregon and Colorado may give the Utes their first Pac-12 South title; two losses would ruin a promising season, regardless of what happens Nov. 24 vs. BYU.

That’s the pressure facing Shelley and his teammates, amid fans' uncertainty of how the rest of this season will play out. In the Dallas-Fort Worth suburb of Frisco, Texas, the feeling is more of excitement than suspense.

“He's built for this,” said Lone Star coach Jeff Rayburn. “I've been hoping and waiting for this opportunity. … There's nothing that will faze him.”

Shelley's supporters wish the circumstances were different, recognizing how he looks up to Huntley and how the loss of a vital player and co-captain affects the team. Yet “like anybody else, he wants to play,” Jason Shelley Sr. said.

He played all the time at Lone Star, starting at quarterback for four years and also starring as an outfielder in baseball and a guard in basketball. He comes from a football family. His grandfather, Phil Shelley, played defensive back at Utah State in 1971-72. Shelley's father played at various levels of pro football, mostly as a receiver for the Arena League's Dallas Desperados as his son was growing up around football.

Amid his extended family's involvement in the game, Jason II is the only quarterback. “He always wanted the ball in his hands,” his father said.

“He's probably one of the smartest football players I've ever been around,” Rayburn said. “His football IQ and understanding is through the roof.”

Rayburn watched Shelley pass for 10,000 yards and run for nearly 4,000 more in high school, a Texas-sized dual feat topped only by Kyler Murray, who’s now Oklahoma’s quarterback and a Heisman contender. In the 2015 Class 5A Division II semifinals, Shelley accounted for 520 yards and seven touchdowns in a 55-49, three-overtime win over Lake Dallas. The Rangers then lost 22-6 to Cedar Park in the championship game at NRG Stadium in Houston, but his Lone Star legacy was established.

Shelley’s 5-foot-11 stature scared many college coaches, his father said, but Utah’s staff saw beyond his height. “The confidence, the poise, the way he threw the ball — everything you want in a quarterback, those intangibles, he had,” coach Kyle Whittingham said.

Recruited by receivers coach Guy Holliday and then-offensive coordinator Aaron Roderick, Shelley committed to the Utes in July 2016, prior to his senior season. Jack Tuttle committed in December 2016, after his junior season.

So here’s Shelley’s chance to lead the Utes, an assignment that hardly anyone outside of the program would have forecasted as of mid-August. Shelley’s being named the No. 2 quarterback over Tuttle was the biggest development of preseason camp. More accurately, the story was framed as Tuttle’s demotion to No. 3; that decision ultimately factored into Tuttle’s withdrawing from the school last month (when Shelley expressed support of Tuttle).

“I know Jack was highly recruited coming in, but as we all know, your rankings from high school don’t really matter,” Dixon said. “It’s based on what you do here and the plays that you make, and [Shelley] made those plays throughout fall camp. He got that backup spot and deserved it.”

Dixon is eager to see how his childhood neighbor and classmate responds now, “just knowing what he can do, and that he's going to have that stage to go out and prove it to everybody,” he said. “There's no one here that thinks he can't get it done.”

The results were mixed last weekend, in Shelley’s first meaningful action. He took off the headset and yellow-mesh vest identifying him as a play-signaler, warmed up quickly and completed his first two passes of 5 yards to Brant Kuithe and 16 yards to Britain Covey. Zack Moss then ran for 27 yards to the ASU 14, but the drive stalled. Shelley was caught for a 5-yard loss on third down after faking a handoff to Moss. Matt Gay’s field goal cut ASU’s lead to 21-20 late in the third quarter, but Utah’s highlights ended there.

The Sun Devils scored 17 points, while each of Utah's next two possessions went three plays and out. Shelley completed two passes on the Utes' last drive, ending with an end-zone interception.

Afterward, Shelley appeared in the interview room and spoke confidently about being prepared to start. Utah is not making him available to the media this week.

His teammates' only choice is to believe in him, but they sound sincere. “The cool thing about Jason is he has such a high ceiling of potential,” Covey said. “When he gets his feet set, there are very few people who throw a prettier ball, especially the deep ball. And everybody's seen his running ability, so I think it's just going to be a matter of him getting comfortable and confident, and and we can provide him with confidence.”

Ute receiver Demari Simpkins, a high school teammate of Huntley, said he really doesn’t have to encourage Shelley. “He’s just as competitive as Tyler is,” Simpkins said. “I will say little stuff here and there: ‘Just play within the game, don’t try and do too much, just relax and be yourself.’ ”

That’s exactly what Shelley’s father is suggesting. The book on Jason II is he never gets too excited or discouraged on the field and he treats football like a game, trying to have fun.

He’s known as a humble person, a serious student and a jokester when he’s in a comfortable setting. Covey, Shelley’s roommate for pregame hotel stays, said, “You will never catch him not smiling.”

The Utes can only hope that holds true, throughout November.

More Olympic flavor: USA Climbing is moving its headquarters to Salt Lake City

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Utah’s ongoing Olympic vibe just got a little stronger.

On Tuesday, the Utah Sports Commission announced that USA Climbing, the national governing body for the sport that will make its Olympic debut at the 2020 Olympic Summer Games in Tokyo is relocating its headquarters from Boulder, Colo., to Salt Lake City. The sports commission partnered with USA Climbing to help facilitate the move.

According to USA Climbing CEO Marc Norman, the organization is aiming at the new industry development in Salt Lake City’s Granary District as its new full-time home.

“With a strong climbing heritage, unrivaled access to indoor and outdoor climbing statewide, and a thriving business community, Salt Lake City is a great choice,” Norman said in a news release. “Once established, we look to create a national training center, where our national team athletes can regularly train to compete at the highest levels internationally.”

USA Climbing becomes the third national governing body to make Utah its home base, alongside U.S. Ski & Snowboard (Park City) and U.S. Speedskating (Kearns).

"Relocating another national governing body of sport like USA Climbing to Utah is a big win,” Utah Gov. Gary Herbert said. “It will allow us to have some of the world's best climbing athletes train here and call Utah home and we will also be a hub for the hosting of many major climbing events as well."

Founded in 1998, USA Climbing is growing at a rapid rate. According to the release, its growing at an average rate of 32 percent per year in participation. The organization also sanctions over 350 competitions each year, including national championships in various disciplines such as adaptive, bouldering, collegiate, speed and sport. USA Climbing oversees the U.S. senior and youth national team pools for climbers who compete in World Cup and World Championship events.

Speed climbing, bouldering and lead climbing will be the three brand new disciplines at the 2020 Olympics in Tokyo. Speed climbing pits two climbers against one another climbing a fixed route on a 15-meter wall. Bouldering features climbers scaling a number of fixed routes on a 4-meter wall against the clock and lead climbing will pit athletes attempting to climb as high as possible on a wall measuring over 15-meter tall within a fixed time.

At the Olympics in 2020, climbers will compete in all three disciplines with the medal outcomes being determined by the combined results.

Once the move becomes permanent, Utah will look to host several national and international climbing competitions. Utah has been a regular stop for various ski, snowboard and speedskating World Cups and World Championship events since the 2002 Olympic Winter Games. In recent years, Utah has hosted tournaments and Olympic Trials for several summer events, including weightlifting, fencing and Taekwondo.

“The presence of USA Climbing in our community allows us to continue to help position the state as a leader in the international sports industry and to further focus on sports development as a key component of Utah’s promotional and economic-development strategy,” said Jeff Robbins, president of the Utah Sports Commission.

Max Boot: Refugees aren’t criminals and freeloaders. I know. I was one.

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President Donald Trump has run a disgraceful and hysterical campaign vilifying illegal immigrants and refugees — two categories that appear indistinguishable to him. He doesn’t have a positive word to say about any immigrants, even the legal ones. Most of his vitriol has focused on a caravan of a few thousand refugees fleeing Central American crime and poverty, which he calls an “invasion” of “criminals and gang members,” necessitating a response from up to 15,000 U.S. troops.

Even Fox News has rejected his notorious commercial falsely accusing Democrats of letting a criminal into the country. His son Donald Trump Jr. echoes the language of white supremacists in accusing Sen. Angus King, I-Maine, of wanting to “repopulate Maine with Syrian and Somalian refugees.”

Democrats are appalled but also largely silent, reluctant to change their focus from health care, which they view as an election-winning issue. They may be right in their political calculation, but the silence may validate Trump’s charges in the minds of some voters. Since so few others are speaking up for refugees, I’d like to lend my voice.

Admittedly, I’m biased, having come to the United States in 1976 as a refugee myself, along with my mother and grandmother. We were helped on our journey from Moscow, via Vienna and Rome, by the Hebrew Immigrant Aid Society, or HIAS, the same organization against which the alleged Pittsburgh synagogue gunman developed a homicidal antipathy. Eventually my mother became a professor at UCLA, teaching generations of students Russian (a language deemed critical to U.S. security), and I became a writer and historian whose books have appeared on many military reading lists.

I hear from a lot of Trump supporters who would like to deport me to either Russia or Israel. But even they would have to concede that, while I may be guilty of thought crimes, my family has not turned into gang bangers who prey on God-fearing, hard-working, native-born Americans. At the very least, we pay our fair share of taxes — which is probably more than Trump can say.

Other refugees have contributed much more to America — and to the world — than we have. Their ranks include Henry Kissinger, Madeleine Albright, George Soros, Gloria Estefan, Yasiel Puig, Mikhail Baryshnikov, Sergey Brin, Stephanie Murphy and many members of the armed forces. But perhaps it’s unfair to cherry-pick anecdotes of successful refugees as the counterpoint to Trump’s anecdotes about cop killers. So let’s look at the data.

Trump’s own Department of Health and Human Services concluded that refugees brought in $63 billion more in tax revenues over the past decade than they cost. The findings were confirmed in a 2017 study from the National Bureau of Economic Research, which reported that, while refugees initially have “low employment, high welfare use and low earnings,” the trend reverses after six years. By that point, “refugees work at higher rates than natives.” The study estimated that in their first 20 years in this country, refugees pay on average “$21,000 more in taxes than they receive in benefits.”

Trump scaremongers about crimes committed by illegal immigrants, but a study published in the journal Criminology found that “states with larger shares of undocumented immigrants tended to have lower crime rates than states with smaller shares in the years 1990 through 2014.” A study conducted by the Cato Institute found that, in Texas, immigrants, both legal and illegal, commit crime at lower rates than the native-born: “In 2015, homicide conviction rates for illegal and legal immigrants were 16 percent and 67 percent below those of natives, respectively.” Trump claims that “crime in Germany is way up” because that country admitted roughly a million, mostly Muslim, refugees. In fact, crime in Germany declined in 2017 to a 25-year low.

Trump is also being deceptive in saying that “nearly 3 in 4 individuals convicted of terrorism-related charges are foreign-born.” That’s true only of international terrorism in the United States, but most terrorism is homegrown. The Government Accountability Office found that from Sept. 12, 2001, to Dec. 31, 2016, there were 85 violent extremist attacks resulting in deaths in the United States. Seventy-three percent of those attacks were committed by right-wing groups and only 27 percent by violent Islamists — and even many of the Islamists, such as the Orlando, Fla., nightclub killer and the Fort Hood, Texas, shooter, were native-born. The Cato Institute calculates that the chance of being murdered by a foreign-born terrorist between 2002 and 2017 was about 1 in 145 million per year.

The scandal isn’t that refugees want to come to the United States. It’s that Trump is abusing these aspiring Americans and closing our doors to them. He has cut refugee admissions to the lowest level since 1980. As the country prepares to celebrate Thanksgiving — commemorating the journey of an earlier group of refugees — let’s open our hearts and our admissions process to today’s asylum-seekers. That doesn’t mean letting in everyone who wants to come here, but it also doesn’t mean turning away almost everyone or calumniating them as an invading army of terrorists, criminals and freeloaders.

Max Boot | The Washington Post
Max Boot | The Washington Post

Max Boot, a Washington Post columnist, is the Jeane J. Kirkpatrick senior fellow for national security studies at the Council on Foreign Relations and a global affairs analyst for CNN.

Jonathan Capehart: Prove it, America. Prove that President Trump is not who we are.

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On Election Day 2008, there was one thought that dominated my thinking: "America, prove me right."

It was a plea to my country to do what I thought it was going to do: Elect the first African-American president of the United States. It was a hope that white Americans would entrust the highest office in the land to a black man and, in so doing, allow our nation to take a major step forward in the jagged forward march to live up to our celebrated ideals.

That night, after it was official, I fled my office at The Washington Post and raced home, not looking at any of the overjoyed faces streaming the other way to the White House. To do so would be to ugly cry in public. The seemingly nonstop cheering and chanting by revelers making their way down 16th Street that night lulled me to sleep.

Eight years later on Election Day 2016, there was one thought that dominated my thinking. "America, prove me wrong."

It was a plea to my country to not do what I thought it was going to do: Elect a man president of the United States who ran an openly racist, xenophobic, misogynistic and nativist campaign. He dared turn over rocks and exploit the bugs of hatred and bigotry scurrying beneath that previous politicians thought better not to disturb. His reward was the Republican presidential nomination.

My hope that night was that America would prove me wrong. I feared that Donald Trump's ugly campaign that traded the dog whistle for a bullhorn and exhortations to violence would be rewarded. That the nation would bow to the politics of racism and division from a man who rose to political prominence by peddling the racist birther lie that then-President Barack Obama was not born in the United States.

That night, I raced home before the ballot-counting began. As much as I wanted Hillary Clinton to win, the atmosphere filled me with dread - the same way it did on Election Night 2004, when then-Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., failed to oust President George W. Bush. With my soon-to-be-husband up in New York City waiting under a glass ceiling that would never break, I wanted to be at home alone.

On election eve, appearing on "The Daily Show With Trevor Noah," I told the audience that if Trump won Pennsylvania, which everyone said and believed was an impossibility, he won the presidency. When the state was called for Trump, making him the president-elect of the United States, I went to bed, crushed that America lived up to my low expectations.

This Election Day, one thought again dominates my thinking. "America, prove me right."

It is a plea to my country to follow through on what I think it is going to do: Rebuke President Trump and his Republican enablers in Congress and restore some semblance of checks and balances by at least returning the House of Representatives to Democratic control.

Since the day after Trump's inauguration, when millions swarmed Washington and other cities around the nation (and world) for the women's march to protest the new president, the American people have raised their voices against Trump's myriad affronts to norms, decency and truth. As horrendous as his I-don't-give-a-damn response to the pipe-bomb assassination plot to take out prominent Democrats was, as callous as his look-at-me preening in the wake of the Pittsburgh synagogue slaughter later that same week and as heartless as his whine that both horrific incidents slowed GOP momentum in the midterms, nothing was more offensive to me than his ceding the moral authority of the Oval Office after the August 2017 murderous celebration of white supremacy in Charlottesville.

"Not all of those people were neo-Nazis, believe me. Not all of those people were white supremacists, by any stretch," the Queens-born builder said at a defiant news conference in the gilded lobby of his eponymous tower in Manhattan on Aug. 15, 2017. Trump would later add, "You had some very bad people in that group. But you also had people that were very fine people on both sides." Shameful.

Believe it or not, that shameful display is nothing compared with the unrepentant racism that is Trump's closing argument in the 2018 midterm elections. Rather than run on his tax cuts (a constant Republican goal) and two Supreme Court justices (a constant conservative goal), not to mention the record number of judicial appointments to lower federal courts, Trump is railing against a slow-moving "caravan" of Central American migrants making their way to our southern border with Mexico. They are nowhere close to reaching the United States, yet Trump is vowing to send 15,000 troops to prevent them from entering the country. He said that he wants the military to think of rocks as rifles.

With his rhetoric, Trump is a latter-day George Wallace standing in America's golden door.

The audience gathered for my speech hosted by the Fulbright Center and the John Adams Institute in Amsterdam last month was as interested and concerned about the midterm elections as the Americans casting ballots. They are keenly aware that what happens on Nov. 6 will have an impact on them in some way. But it was in that speech that I expressed why I thought America would prove me right this time. Why the goodness and decency of the American people would win out.

My nation is not perfect, far from it. We get so much right and a lot of things wrong. But we are a nation that strives for perfection. It might take us a while, but when that Arc of the Moral universe bends towards Justice, more often than not it is at the insistence of the American people or of their leaders who had the foresight to see the right path forward.

The changes America has made just in my lifetime are awe-inspiring. I am a descendant of slaves, whose parents grew up in the segregated Jim Crow South. My cousins and I are the first generation in our family who didn't have to pick cotton. And I was able to marry the man I love and have the ceremony officiated by Eric Holder, the attorney general of the United States who made one decision that made it all possible.

My standing before you today as an openly gay journalist at one of America's preeminent newspapers is proof of my country's capacity to do right. Right by its people. Right by its founding principles and ideals.

There's something about being on foreign soil that brings home just how powerful America is - not as a superpower, but as an idea. After another event in the Dutch capital, I noticed the cover photo on the phone of a JAI staffer. It was of the Statue of Liberty. And it was a glorious reminder that the Lady in the Harbor, that symbol of freedom and democracy, still means something to people around the world despite policies and actions that call everything into question.

In the lede of their Nov. 3 story, The Post's Matt Viser and Philip Rucker crystallized the 2018 midterm elections. "Two years of political volatility will culminate Tuesday," they wrote, "when voters for the first time since the stunning 2016 election render a nationwide judgment on whether Trumpism is a historic anomaly or a reflection of modern-day America."

Prove me right, America. Prove that this is not a reflection of modern-day America. Go to the polls and send a loud and clear message to the nation and the world: Enough is enough.

Jonathan Capehart, The Washington Post.
Jonathan Capehart, The Washington Post. (Julia Ewan/)

Jonathan Capehart is a member of The Washington Post editorial board, writes for the PostPartisan blog and is host of the “Cape Up” podcast. @capehartj

Dana Milbank: Is there no evil the Democrats won’t commit?

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WASHINGTON -- Is there no evil the Democrats won't commit?

If President Trump is telling the truth -- and why would we suspect otherwise? -- Democrats are trying to open America's borders and fill the country with MS-13 gang killers and drug dealers who will turn the United States into Venezuela, destroy Medicare, trash the economy, and otherwise bury every white man, woman and child eyebrow deep in drugs. Democrats' cruelty is so much the worse when you consider that, under Trump, wages have quintupled, the debt has vanished, and every African-American has become a billionaire.

President Barack Obama's political guru, David Axelrod, tells The Washington Post's Philip Rucker there might be a "point of diminishing returns" to Trump's increasingly apocalyptic allegations against Democrats, if voters find them "so fundamentally contrived that even some who are inclined to vote for Republicans say, 'you lost me here.'"

Fundamentally contrived! That is an outrageous suggestion by Axelrod, whom I have reason to believe personally installed the secret autopilot technology in Malaysia Airlines Flight 370, which caused the airliner to drop off radar and land in Area 51, where Democrats have bred survivors into millions of shape-shifting lizards who look like Justin Bieber and are planning to vote illegally in the midterm elections.

If Trump is not winning, it is not because he is using “fundamentally contrived” allegations -- it’s because he is not using enough fundamentally contrived allegations.

Yes, Trump has said Democrats are in cahoots with "globalists" such as George Soros to finance MS-13 caravans and violent antifa riots, run the "deep state," fake the Puerto Rican hurricane death toll and sell the global warming hoax. His supporters have also claimed Democrats murdered a DNC official over Hillary Clinton's emails and ran a pedophile ring out of Washington, D.C.'s, Comet Ping Pong.

But Trump had been so much more creative previously, implicating Ted Cruz's dad in the JFK assassination, identifying 5 million fraudulent votes for Clinton, absolving Russia of election interference, discovering that both Vince Foster and Antonin Scalia were murdered, and finding that vaccines cause autism. He can do better!

The problem in these closing days of the campaign is that he has left too many potential allegations on the cutting-room floor:

Democrats, from secret headquarters beneath Denver's airport, are working with the Council on Foreign Relations, the European Union, Bohemian Grove, the Bilderberg Group, the Rothschilds, Skull & Bones, the Freemasons, Saul Alinsky, Opus Dei and Opus One to prevent Trump supporters from voting Tuesday by sending radio signals to the RFID chips they embedded in every American's brain through cloud seeding and birth-control pills!

Democrats, through water fluoridation and airplane chemtrails, have subdued millions of Trump supporters and transported them in black helicopters to a FEMA internment camp in Roswell, New Mexico, where New World Order socialists are loading them onto UFOs so they can't vote in the midterms!

Democrats, who have been spying on Trump and his supporters through the Eye of Providence atop the pyramid on the $1 bill, will, if they win the House, drink the blood of all Trump supporters' children before sending them to the Planet Nibiru, the existence of which Democrats have concealed until now despite its role in the solar eclipse!

Some will be skeptical of these allegations against Democrats. But these would be the same people who refuse to accept that:

Nancy Pelosi was driving the white Fiat in the Paris tunnel when Princess Diana was killed.

Chuck Schumer, working with the KGB, shot down Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 over Ukraine.

John Brennan faked the Sandy Hook shooting.

Maxine Waters faked the moon landing.

Debbie Wasserman Schultz faked the Holocaust.

Eric Holder killed the real Paul McCartney.

Cory Booker was on the Grassy Knoll with Ted Cruz's father.

Hillary Clinton created ISIS.

Bill Clinton brought down the World Trade Center with controlled demolitions and holograms.

Kamala D. Harris gave the stand-down order in Benghazi.

Bernie Sanders sabotaged the Deepwater Horizon using sharks with cameras in their eyes.

Elizabeth Warren deflated footballs at the 2015 AFC championship game and is responsible for crop circles, the Vatican's cover-up of sexual abuse and New Coke.

Soros is responsible for the Oklahoma City bombing, Pan Am Flight 103, poisoning the Russian defector in Britain and hiding a still-alive Elvis in his basement.

And Obama, born in Kenya to Muslim terrorists, is attempting genocide by pushing all white people off the edge of the Earth -- which, as we all know, is flat.

Dana Milbank | The Washington Post
Dana Milbank | The Washington Post

Follow Dana Milbank on Twitter, @Milbank.

Tribune editorial: Soldier-statesman Brent Taylor fought for what’s right

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“I am the mayor of a small city with an $18 million budget. Our city council spends two full days in budget workshops and then many hours in subsequent meetings, as they meticulously review each individual line item and make modifications. In contrast, the full UTA Board spent only two total hours on this massive $600 million budget, did not review line item details, and basically rubber-stamped management’s proposals.”

— North Ogden Mayor Brent Taylor in a Jan. 5 commentary in The Salt Lake Tribune

Before he was killed in an attack in Afghanistan last week, Brent Taylor fought the battle of Utah Transit Authority.

The North Ogden mayor — who wore the hats of father, soldier and politician — couldn’t seem to do anything halfheartedly. When Taylor was chosen to represent Weber and Box Elder counties on the UTA board last year, the old guard at the transit agency was so unnerved they tried to deny him the appointment. They claimed it violated nepotism rules because his father was a FrontRunner train operator, and it took a ruling from State Auditor John Dougall to force the board to seat him.

Once he was on the board, Taylor did something other board members almost never did. He started questioning management’s financial decisions. He challenged UTA’s plan to borrow $88 million when it was already $2 billion in debt. He questioned why UTA drastically discounted passes for Utah Valley University and Brigham Young University students.

Ultimately, he fought to dismantle the board and replace it with a more functional system, and the Utah Legislature did exactly that while he was overseas.

Taylor’s tenacity in the face of so much bureaucratic inertia says mountains about a man who was taken too soon from his wife, his seven children, his fellow North Ogdenites and the entire state of Utah.

Politics for Taylor was about problem solving, not building fiefdoms or protecting turf. It’s that attitude that led the Republican to join with Oscar Mata, a former executive director of Weber County Democrats, to form “Weber County Forward.” As with UTA, Taylor and Mata were looking to replace the county’s three-commissioner government with a better system of checks and balances.

Utah will never know how far Taylor’s star would have risen. Three days after his commentary ran in The Tribune in January, he announced that he was taking a yearlong leave from being mayor to serve in Afghanistan. “Service is really what leadership is all about,” Taylor said in his Facebook announcement.

True enough, but leadership is also about courage. Brent Taylor was never afraid to do what is right.

The angels better be ready. Heaven just got a new reformer.

Enjoy unlimited sltrib.com access this Election Day

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If you think this midterm seems more momentous than most Utah elections, you’re not alone. Turnout is up for a full slate of local candidates and propositions, and the battle for Congress has grabbed the nation’s attention.

The Salt Lake Tribune will give you all the details and analysis on election night at sltrib.com, including vote totals updated throughout the evening. And we’re giving everyone free, unlimited access until noon on Wednesday. There will be no limit on the number of stories for non-subscribers during that period.

History will be made no matter who and what wins. Please join us.


An updated draft of the medical cannabis bill was released on election eve. Here’s what it says.

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A new version of a medical cannabis bill under consideration by state lawmakers strikes a requirement that patients undergo criminal background checks and fleshes out protections for pharmacists and physicians involved in dispensing the drug, considered illegal under federal law.

But the revised legislation, released Monday evening, preserves the basic structure of the proposal pitched by medical marijuana advocates, Proposition 2 opponents and state officials last month.

“The big concepts have remained, but we’ve found more artful ways to address the small-to-medium issues based on a ton of input,” said Connor Boyack, founder of the libertarian Libertas Institute and a medical marijuana advocate.

The list of ailments — including HIV, cancer, epilepsy, multiple sclerosis and forms of chronic pain — that could be treated with medical cannabis has remained virtually untouched. So have the allowable cannabis product varieties and the proposed distribution system.

Under both the original and updated versions, a state-centralized pharmacy would ship cannabis orders to local health departments for pickup by patients. A handful of private “cannabis pharmacies” would also sell the substance.

The drafted Utah Medical Cannabis Act took shape during weeks of private negotiations between groups on opposing sides of the Prop 2 debate. While the two camps still disagree on the medical cannabis ballot initiative, they found common ground on the proposed legislation.

Gov. Gary Herbert has pledged to call a special session on the bill, potentially drawing lawmakers to the State Capitol in mid-November or early December.

In recent weeks, participants in the negotiations have continued fine tuning the language of the bill made public in early October.

Greg Hartley, chief of staff for Utah House Speaker Greg Hughes, said officials wanted to share the updates before the Election Day decision on Prop 2.

“We did our best to get as many big changes in a draft bill form prior to the election so we aren’t accused of waiting for the outcome to determine what is in the bill,” he wrote in a text message. “That said, there are still some additional items we are working through and we expect to continue discussing other suggestions as they come to us. This bill isn’t final, but the framework of the compromise should remain consistent.”

Here are some differences between the original draft and the update posted online Monday:

  • The new version adds a severability clause stating that if a judge overturns an element of the act, the rest of it remains intact. Boyack said the language was included as a precaution in case of legal challenge.
  • It removes a requirement for patients to pay for a criminal background check and language disqualifying certain drug offenders from medical cannabis treatments.
  • The updated bill finesses language offering liability protection to physicians and pharmacists who recommend medical marijuana, despite its status as an illegal substance under federal law. Patients could still take legal action against a medical provider for malpractice, Boyack said. 
  • A patient whose post-traumatic stress disorder is diagnosed by a psychologist with a doctorate could qualify for medical cannabis. Before, only PTSD diagnosed by a psychiatrist qualified; Boyack said there was some concern this provision would create a bottleneck because of a shortage of psychiatrists in the state. 
  • A 60-day renewal requirement for medical cannabis cards was stripped from the updated version. Previously, new cannabis patients would have to seek cannabis card renewals after 30 days, then after another 60 days and then after another six months. Boyack said this process would have been burdensome for patients, so the updated version cuts down on the number of required renewals.
  • The new bill includes stricter rules about who can qualify as a caregiver or guardian for a cannabis patient. 
  • The legislation explicitly states that medical cannabis can’t be burned or smoked, although patients can vape it. Boyack said this language was inadvertently left out of the original version. 
  • Employment protections for medical cannabis patients are now limited to state and local government workers. The previous version was more expansive, also barring private employers from firing or refusing to hire people because they are medical cannabis patients.
  • Local and state law enforcement officers are barred from enforcing gun laws that would prohibit people from buying or possessing a firearm because they are a medical cannabis patient.

Midterm madness: Here’s why we might not be able to call some of the big races in Utah tonight

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(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People cast their votes in the early hours shortly after the polls opened for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at First Congregational Church in Salt Lake City.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People cast their votes in the early hours shortly after the polls opened for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at First Congregational Church in Salt Lake City.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People cast their votes in the early hours shortly after the polls opened for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2018 at First Congregational Church in Salt Lake City.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People cast their votes in the early hours shortly after the polls opened for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2018 at First Congregational Church in Salt Lake City.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People cast their votes in the early hours for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Columbus Center in Salt Lake City.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People cast their votes in the early hours for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Columbus Center in Salt Lake City.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People cast their votes in the morning for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Riverton Senior Center.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People cast their votes in the morning for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Riverton Senior Center.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People cast their votes in the morning for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Riverton Senior Center.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People cast their votes in the morning for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Riverton Senior Center.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  Salt Lake County Clerk Sherrie Swensen checks in with staff as people line up to cast their votes for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Salt Lake County offices.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People line up to vote for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Salt Lake County offices.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  Elections worker Carson Adams runs ballots through a high speed tabulation machine during the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Salt Lake County offices.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  Elections worker Carson Adams runs ballots through a high speed tabulation machine before locking them during the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Salt Lake County offices.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  People line up to vote for the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Salt Lake County offices.(Francisco Kjolseth  |  The Salt Lake Tribune)  Elections workers lock boxes of ballots after running them through a high speed tabulation machine during the midterm elections on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018 at the Salt Lake County offices.

Editor’s Note: Check back throughout the day for the latest news, updates and analysis of Utah’s 2018 midterm election from The Salt Lake Tribune’s award-winning political reporting team.

6:45 p.m. — Electoral overtime

So you want results in the 4th District race between Republican Rep. Mia Love and Democratic Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams. I get it.

But you probably won’t get them tonight.

For one thing, it’s looking like this is going to be an EXTREMELY close race. On top of that, there will be mail-in ballots still trickling in over the next few days.

But maybe the biggest question mark is going to be the huge number of provisional ballots that are being cast.

That’s a product of two factors. First, there are the normal provisional ballots that get cast every election, thanks to someone moving and not updating their address or the like. The second is turning out to be a much larger factor, and one that we haven’t had to deal with before — same-day voter registrations.

For the first time this year, voters could register at their polling place and the good news (because I am a Polyanna) is that the response has been staggering.

The bad news is that each of those voters registering at their polling place had to cast provisional ballots and each of the ballots and registration forms has to be reviewed on a case-by-case basis to determine if they can be counted or not.

Salt Lake County Clerk Sherrie Swensen said Tuesday evening that in some polling locations as many as half of the votes that were cast on Tuesday were provisional ballots cast by new voters. It will likely take up to two weeks to verify those registration forms and decide which ballots will be counted.

That means we may not have reliable vote totals for two more weeks. And in tight races — not just the 4th District, but in a few state legislative races, and possibly one or two of the propositions — we may not know the outcome for quite a while.

Consider it overtime for people who like politics more than sports.

— Robert Gehrke

5:45 p.m. — Fraud-sniffing Dogs?

Blake Spalding is no shrinking violet. As co-owner of Hells Backbone Grill in Boulder, she has been outspoken in her political views, most notably her advocacy for protecting the Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument.

So she’s understandably a little suspicious as to why sheriff’s deputies showed up with a dog at the big house where staff at the grill live and started asking people to prove they were legally registered to vote.

Spalding said the deputies were asking her staff how long they had lived in the district and telling them that they had to live there for six months in order to legally register (in fact, the law says 30 days). And they asked her employees if Spalding had forced them to register to vote.

Spalding said the deputies confiscated several ballots that had been sitting in a common area at the house.

KUTV’s Chris Jones reported that he spoke to Garfield County Sheriff James Perkins who sent the deputies because there were between a dozen and 20 people registered at the same address.

The address belongs to a former polygamist home with nine bedrooms where her employees live, Spalding said. There are also trailers on the property.

And what’s up with the dog? Is this dog somehow specially trained to sniff out voter fraud?

State Sen. Jim Dabakis said he plans to ask the lieutenant governor and attorney general’s offices to investigate.

The deputies showed up the same day that President Donald Trump tweeted that, “Law Enforcement has been strongly notified to watch closely for any ILLEGAL VOTING which may take place in Tuesday’s Election (or Early Voting). Anyone caught will be subject to the Maximum Criminal Penalties allowed by law. Thank you!”

— Robert Gehrke


5:05 p.m. — Pizza at the polls

A man made instant friends outside a polling place at the University of Utah Tuesday.

The unidentified man brought an extra-large pizza to give to folks lining up outside the Marriott Library waiting to vote. The moment was captured on the U.’s Twitter feed.

“[Y]ou should run for office,” the U.’s Twitter poster suggested, adding “And can you order a few more?”

— Sean Means


3: 30 p.m. — R.I.P. Utah Colleges Exit Poll

This year is to be the first in decades that college students around the state haven’t fanned out to polling places to question voters for the Utah Colleges Exit Poll.

The poll was a valuable trove of, not just election night data, but insights into why people voted the way they did. And, while we never called races based on the exit poll numbers, we did look to them to reinforce our decisions to call various races.

Fortunately, Brigham Young University professor Kelly Patterson, who was part of the braintrust behind the exit polling, is doing his own thing. For a little over a week, Patterson has been contacting voters via postcards and email, asking them to take an online survey that should tell us a lot about the voting trends in the state.

So far, Patterson says he has an estimated 2,500 responses from around the state.

The reason for the change in methodology — contacting voters at home instead of leaving polling places — is obvious when you think about it.

“[A polling place survey] doesn’t work now because so many people already voted, and those people who vote on Election Day are systematically different than the people who vote by mail and in the early voting period,” Patterson said.

Patterson is doing the polling in conjunction with Y2 Analytics, the firm that conducts polling for Rep. Mia Love, but he assures his work is completely independent of the Love campaign or any other campaign or party.

Patterson won’t be releasing any results tonight, but he does plan to release the data, hopefully soon, in an effort to fill in some of the gaps in what we know about the trends driving the 2018 midterms.

— Robert Gehrke


3:30 p.m. — Utah’s Prop 4 inspires Pennsylvania activists to seek referendum powers

Some Pennsylvania activists say they are inspired by the Utah drive to end gerrymandering through Proposition 4 — and wish they had the power there to allow citizens to put issue referendums on the ballot.

“The efforts of people in Utah who are working to strengthen our representative democracy have been noticed and will inspire our efforts to ask our legislators to restore the power of our vote,” Carol Kuniholm, director of Fair Districts PA, emailed the Tribune.

She said her group is pushing to end “the egregious gerrymandering that has choked democracy in our state for decades,” and has collected signatures from 40,000 Pennsylvanias seeking to create an independent redistricting commission there. But she said legislators have thwarted a needed constitutional amendment.

She wrote that “the progress in Utah is inspiring folks across the country to push for reform to ensure fair redistricting.”

In Utah, Better Boundaries gathered more than 150,000 verified signatures from voters to put Prop 4 on the ballot.

— Lee Davidson


2:20 p.m. — Republicans shun one big party, with big candidates holding their own

Utah Republicans have many options for election night parties — perhaps too many.

Whereas high-profile Democratic candidates like Ben McAdams and Jenny Wilson plan to join their state party’s festivities at the Radisson hotel in downtown Salt Lake City, Republican candidates have splintered away from their party’s party at the Vivint Smart Home Arena.

Senate candidate Mitt Romney is hosting an event at his campaign headquarters in Orem, and Rep. Mia Love will watch the results at the Hilton Garden Inn in Lehi.

Even Nathan Evershed, the GOP candidate for Salt Lake County District Attorney, elected to host his own event at the Courtyard by Marriott hotel in downtown Salt Lake City.

But at least one big name is expected to join the Republicans at The Viv — Sen. Orrin Hatch, who is retiring from the Senate after seven terms and 42 years in office.

— Benjamin Wood


Noon — turnout far eclipses the 2014 midterm and here’s what it might mean

How big has voter turnout been already this year? Well, according to the most recent (and last) early voting report from the state elections office, more than 700,000 Utahns have already voted.

That’s already easily eclipsed the nearly 578,000 who voted in the last midterm election in 2014.

And a lot more are expected to vote Tuesday. The Associated Press is basing its election night models on an estimate that 900,000 Utahns could vote before it’s all over, a 56 percent increase from 2014.

Let’s drill down into those numbers a little bit.

These are the latest (and final) report on the numbers of early voters by county across Utah. The 700,444 easily eclipses the total of just under 578,000 voters who cast ballots in the 2014 midterm election.
These are the latest (and final) report on the numbers of early voters by county across Utah. The 700,444 easily eclipses the total of just under 578,000 voters who cast ballots in the 2014 midterm election.

First, and most obvious, look at the Salt Lake County turnout! Already, 283,560 people have voted, up from a total of 229,379 four years ago. We don’t have a breakdown by congressional district, but 85 percent of the voters in the 4th District are in Salt Lake County, so a big turnout there likely favors Democrat Ben McAdams over Republican Rep. Mia Love.

There’s also some bad news for Love in the really low turnout in the GOP stronghold of Utah County. Yes, it has eclipsed the 2014 vote total by about 6,000, but does have the lowest rate of early voting in the state, and this is a place where Love needs to rack up a lot of votes to help offset the Salt Lake County numbers. This could change, of course, and there are reports of long lines at polling locations in Utah County (see below).

The really high turnout (no pun intended) could also bode well for Proposition 2, the medical marijuana ballot initiative, and potentially other initiatives as well. Earlier polling showed that young people were much more inclined to support Prop. 2.

According to voter modeling by the political data outfit Target Smart, about 1 in 5 voters so far is an infrequent voter or first-time voter. And about 10 percent are below the age of 30. That doesn’t sound like much, but is a substantial increase from past elections.

And, hey, let’s give it up for Garfield County. Turnout there is already at 75 percent. Fewer than 600 registered voters in the entire county haven’t cast ballots yet. That’s amazing.

— Robert Gehrke


11 a.m. — It is Utah County, after all

Utah County has had its share of problems running smooth elections and 2018 appears to be off to a rocky start.

By 8 a.m. this morning, there was already a two-hour line at the Orem Scout Office polling place, pollworkers told voter Richard Jaussi, who lucky for him, was just dropping off his mail-in ballot and was able to skip the line. Up in Eagle Mountain, meantime, voting machines malfunctioned, leaving voters trying to cast their ballots before work with just one working machine and an hour-long wait.

There are reports of long lines at other polling places in the county, as well.

Vote-by-mail was supposed to alleviate some of these problems, but for whatever reason, barely a third of registered voters in Utah County mailed in their ballots before Election Day. So voters who are planning to vote in person should anticipate spending extra time in line, or they can fill in their mail-in ballot and deliver it straight to a ballot box.

This will be long-time Utah County Clerk Bryan Thompson’s last election. He lost the Republican nomination to Amelia Powers, who does not have a Democratic opponent but is facing Independent American candidate Jason Christensen on Tuesday’s ballot.

— Robert Gehrke

Albert R. Hunt: How to follow the election returns

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American voters should be forgiven for a bit of impatience when midterm election results start coming in Tuesday evening. They've been through a long and divisive campaign and they'll want to know who prevailed. But their verdict on the state of American democracy is unlikely to reveal itself quickly as the evening unfolds. Here's a guide to following the clock.

With predictions of the largest midterm turnout in more than half a century, the first polls close at 6 p.m. in parts of Indiana, where Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly is one of the party's most endangered incumbents, and Kentucky, where a once-secure Republican seat in the House of Representatives is being strongly contested by Democrat Amy McGrath, an ex-Marine combat pilot.

At 7 p.m. Eastern time, some notable results will start rolling in from the East, though in Florida, where there are tight statewide races, 10 counties close an hour later. Voting ends in Ohio, North Carolina and West Virginia at 7:30.

If Democratic Senate incumbents Bill Nelson in Florida or Joe Manchin of West Virginia lose, Republicans probably will be adding to their two-seat majority. In policy terms, that would mean that Republicans would retain a clear path to confirm conservative federal judges and Supreme Court justices for at least another two years.

Two early-closing governors' contests could also be telling. Progressive black Democrats are running in two southern states against ardent fans of President Donald Trump. Wins by Andrew Gillum over Ron DeSantis in Florida and Stacey Abrams over Brian Kemp in Georgia would signal a new day in Southern politics and would also help Democrats shape more favorable state and congressional legislative districts after the 2020 census.

In what may be the most important outcome in the redistricting calculation, Democrats are cautiously optimistic about taking back the governorship in Ohio, where Richard Cordray, the former head of the Consumer Financial Protection Agency, is running against Republican state Attorney General Mike DeWine.

The most suspenseful national contest is the one for control of the House, and early results are unlikely to signal whether Democrats win the 23 Republican-held seats they need. But there will be some leading indicators. If Democrats pick up two or three seats in Virginia; a couple in Florida; one in Charlotte, North Carolina; and one in Ohio that they barely lost in an August special election, that augurs well for winning control. If they also win in an overwhelmingly pro-Trump district in West Virginia, the blue wave is coming.

Three important results will come in the next hour. Polls close at 8 p.m Eastern time in Texas, where the most talked-about 2018 candidate, Democrat Beto O'Rourke, is trying to upset Sen. Ted Cruz in a state dominated by Republicans for decades. And Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill is trying to hold on against a formidable challenge from another pro-Trump Republican, Josh Hawley.

By later in the 8 o'clock hour, the House outcome could reveal itself. That's when polls close in Maine, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Texas, and - yes, Dorothy - Kansas, states where as many as 20 Republican-held seats are in play. Republicans need to hold more than half of these if they hope to keep running the House.

Voting ends at 9 p.m. in Wisconsin, where Democrats are trying to deny a third gubernatorial term to one of the most resourceful U.S. politicians, Scott Walker. In a House race there, a Democratic ironworker faces an uphill struggle to take the seat vacated by retiring Speaker Paul Ryan. Four Minnesota House seats are in play, two in suburban districts where Democrats expect to pick up Republican seats and two in Democratic-controlled rural districts that may be the most-endangered for Democrats in this election.

After the 10 p.m. closings, the Senate majority should be clear with outcomes settled in two more close contests involving Democratic incumbents in Montana and North Dakota as well as for two open Republican seats in Nevada and Arizona, where Democrats are running even or ahead. On the House side, Republicans are worried about two incumbents in Iowa, and even Steve King, the white nationalist-sympathizing representative from an overwhelmingly Republican western district is being seriously contested.

In the west, California is worth watching for once. Polls close at 11 p.m. Eastern time, and there are seven or eight Republican-held seats that Democrats have targeted. If they win most of them, Democrats will be breaking out the champagne.

Albert Hunt.
Albert Hunt.

Albert R. Hunt is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering politics and policy. He was the executive editor of Bloomberg News, before which he was a reporter, bureau chief and executive Washington editor at the Wall Street Journal.

E.J. Dionne: Why Democrats will do well on Election Day

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Washington • I have often said when asked for predictions this year that I turned in my Prognosticator’s Union membership card at 11:45 p.m. on Election Night 2016.

Those who don't like the labor movement (for which I have a long-standing fondness) shouldn't worry: There is no prognosticator's union. The idea was that all pundits should display a degree of humility after President Trump's victory, which few of us expected.

But as a friend of mine once observed, you can't chase the bookie from the track. So I am taking back my old union card and predicting flatly that the Democrats will be doing very well when the returns start rolling in on Tuesday night.

In House races, a 30- to 35-seat Democratic pickup is reasonable and may not even be the upper limit.

The Dems will grab a bushel of governor's races, which I grant you is a vague prediction, but it's intended to convey a very good night. To be more specific, at least three out of the four key blue-collar Trump states (Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin) will go Democratic. I strongly suspect that Andrew Gillum will win Florida and Stacey Abrams will come in first in Georgia, though I don't know if she will be able to avoid a runoff.

And while the Senate remains a long shot for the Democrats, their chances of the inside straight they need to take the majority are not as distant as many think.

Now why would someone want to go out on a limb like this when there is no need to? I have four reasons.

The first is the inspiration of Yogi Berra, famous for his unusual and often hilarious verbal formulations. "We made too many wrong mistakes," he said (or is said to have said) about the New York Yankees' 1960 World Series loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates. I have pondered this line for years because I actually think that some mistakes don't turn out to be so wrong after all, while others really are fatal. In the case of this year's election, I think pundits are making the wrong mistake by being so worried about the mistake we made two years ago.

It's true that almost no one (including, it would appear, the victorious candidate himself) expected Trump to pull off the narrow victories in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania that would give him his electoral college majority. Therefore, there is a habit this year to bend over backward to assume that Trump has some kind of magic, that Trump voters always come out of the woodwork on his behalf in key places, and that Democrats can never shoot straight.

This, I believe, is the "wrong mistake" of 2018. Yes, gerrymandering may hold down Democratic gains and make a lot of races close. But virtually all of the evidence we have from the elections that have been held since Trump's victory — the special elections and regularly scheduled state and local contests in 2017 — is of a rather hard swing away from the Republicans. Mobilization on the Democratic side has been far greater than among Republicans, and primary turnouts, with only a few exceptions, have favored the Democrats.

Democratic campaigns have been blessed with a volunteer force the size of which is unlike anything that has been seen since Barack Obama's first race in 2008. And strong disapprovers of Trump have consistently outnumbered strong approvers by large margins — 43 percent to 28 percent in the pre-election Washington Post/ABC News poll, for example. This is another sign of intensity on the Democratic side.

Second, I believe Trump's closing "argument," focused on the "caravan" and his outlandish (and, to put it mildly, racially tinged) fearmongering, has hurt Republicans in the past week. Yes, it just might help a bit in a couple of Senate races in very pro-Trump states, but I am not even sure of that. What I know is that this is the last thing that will help Republicans among swing voters, moderates and especially women in the House races that are taking place on terrain less friendly to Trump.

It's possible that Trump's approach will increase Republican turnout in very conservative districts that Republicans were already going to win, but this is useless when it comes to holding onto the House. In the swing districts, moderate voters have been reminded of what they really can't stand about Trump while liberals have been given another reason, if they needed one, to turn out to vote.

Third, when careful analysts such as Charlie Cook have changed their ratings on races over the past week or so, most of the movement has been in the Democrats' direction. No, please don't implicate Charlie in my overall analysis here; I'm using his numbers for my own purposes, and I certainly won't blame him if I'm wrong. But he wouldn't be moving those races, if he weren't seeing something like what I am seeing.

And the last reason I offer this prediction is personal. I have never believed we are Donald Trump's country, and I do not believe we ever will be.

My analysis of the 2016 exit poll data, based on the voters who disliked both Trump and Clinton, is that about 8 or 9 percentage points of Trump's 46 percent of the vote were far more anti-Clinton than pro-Trump. So he starts with a base of, at best, 35 percent, and he has done nothing to add to it.

Except for a couple of outlier polls, Trump has never enjoyed anything like majority support. I also believe that many of the blue-collar voters who backed Trump in protest did not fully buy into what he said and do not have a lot to show for his presidency. That's what the swing against his party in the Midwest will be about.

I think that there are a lot of African-American voters who want to stand up for their rights and enough white voters who want to speak up loudly against racism to give Gillum and Abrams a chance — especially since both of these candidates are (contra Trump) highly qualified and have done a very good job at both mobilization and persuasion.

If my predictions here are broadly wrong, I will have egg on my face and I'll turn in that notional union card again, perhaps permanently. But this would not bother me nearly as much as being wrong in my analysis of who we are as Americans. In the end, I am predicting that we will turn our backs on Trumpism because I think that as a people, we really are much better than he thinks we are.

E.J. Dionne
E.J. Dionne

E.J. Dionne’s email address is ejdionne@washpost.com. Twitter: @EJDionne.

A Woods Cross man died after a house fire. The city is investigating why the fire hydrant in front of his home wasn’t working.

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A 62-year-old Woods Cross man died in a hospital after being critically injured in a fire at his house Monday night, and now city officials are looking into why the hydrant in front of his home wasn’t working when firefighters tried to tap in.

Just before 9 p.m., a passerby called 911 to report a fire at 1375 S. 1100 West. A neighbor also called about the fire, saying the homeowner, Eric Bardall, was likely still inside, according to a news release from South Davis Metro Fire.

Fire crews arrived within five minutes of the call and described flames burning out of the front window and floor-to-ceiling dark and heavy smoke. Firefighters searched the home and found Bardall; the release said “the amount of personal property” in the home made it hard to search.

Among other complications for firefighters, the fire hydrant out front was dry and “numerous” small propane tanks were leaking gas and bolstering the fire’s growth. Crews extinguished the fire within 30 minutes of the call, according to the release.

City manager Gary Uresk said a valve connecting the hydrant to the main water line was shut off. City officials are investigating why.

“It’s a new hydrant. We’d had some construction on the street, and had a contractor put the hydrants in. We’re checking with the contractor and all the employees involved and getting to the bottom of it,” Uresk said.

Fire Chief Jeff Bassett said while the dry hydrant slowed how quickly firefighters stamped out the blaze, he doesn’t believe it contributed to the man’s death, because by the time crews arrived, smoke was so thick in the house it was likely toxic.

BYU’s offense is more productive with Zach Wilson at QB, but scoring remains a problem

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Provo • A lot of coulda, woulda and shoulda will accompany descriptions of BYU’s 2018 football season when all is said and done, particularly when the losses to California, Northern Illinois and Boise State are analyzed.

For instance, if the Cougars could have done more in the red zone against those three opponents, they would have been 7-2 instead of 4-5 and should have been talking about what bowl game they were going to rather than the need to defeat Massachusetts on Saturday (10 a.m. MST, Ch. 11) at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass., to keep their postseason hopes alive.

“We’ve just got to find a way to get the ball in the end zone,” coach Kalani Sitake said Monday.

Of course, never has that been more apparent than the closing seconds of Saturday’s 21-16 loss to Boise State. After Matt Hadley took a screen pass 59 yards to the BSU 24, the Cougars ran eight plays (one was a spike to kill the clock) without scoring, including the sack of quarterback Zach Wilson on the 4-yard line that ended the game.

BYU moved the ball inside the BSU 20-yard line six times, but scored just one touchdown — a 4-yard run by Wilson — and two field goals. Their other field goal came when a 12-play drive stalled at the 25.

“Sixteen points isn’t great” for an offense that gained 388 yards, Wilson acknowledged. “We should have scored more than that. I just gotta finish. I think we moved the ball well. We just have to finish.”

Aside from that memorable failure in the 21-18 loss to Cal when Dayan Ghanwoloku jumped on a muffed punt at the Bears’ 16 and Tanner Mangum threw an interception three plays later, BYU was mostly successful in the red zone in its first seven games.

Not counting drives that ended in kneel-downs, BYU scored 18 touchdowns and three field goals in 23 red-zone possessions in its first seven games. That’s a 78.3 percent success clip.

In its last two games, though, BYU has scored one touchdown on eight possessions in the red zone (including Matt Bushman’s lost fumble at the BSU 3 after catching a 40-yard pass from Neil Pau’u). It has settled for field goals four times — two each against NIU and Boise State.

“I thought in comparison to last week [vs. NIU] we made a huge improvement as far as gaining yards and getting the ball in the red zone,” Sitake said. “We just didn’t finish the drives. … We need to have more efficiency and more success in the red zone, and there were too many issues and mistakes to overcome against a good team like Boise.”

Sitake said it was offensive coordinator Jeff Grimes’ own decision to move from the sidelines to the booth in the press box for the Boise State game, and Sitake didn’t think the move had anything to do with the red-zone failures Saturday. Grimes said on his Coordinators’ Corner program Monday that he isn’t sure yet where he will be in the next three games — at UMass Saturday, at home against New Mexico State on Nov. 24 (8:15 p.m.) or at Utah on Nov. 24 (kickoff time TBA).

“We are just going through some growing pains, and part of that is our red-zone offense and part of it has been pass protection, and part of it has been not being efficient in the run game,” Grimes said, alluding to the starting quarterback change made three weeks ago before the 49-23 win over Hawaii.

Another problem for the BYU offense: third-down conversions.

The Cougars are 120th in the country, of 129 teams, on third down, having converted just 33 percent of the time (38 of 115). Last season, their third-down conversion rate was 35.8 percent, which ranked them 95th in the country.

“I mean, heartbreak,” said fullback Brayden El-Bakri, describing the final seconds at Boise State. “There is no other way to put it. The fans and Cougar Nation, they are feeling just the way that we are. … Not being able to get it done is kinda like a stab in the back, like all your hard work was for nothing.”

Ex-world champ swimmer Filippo Magnini banned 4 years for doping

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Rome • Two-time swimming world champion Filippo Magnini has been banned for four years for doping.

Italy's anti-doping agency issued the verdict for the retired swimmer on Tuesday, and gave the same sentence to Magnini's relay teammate, Michele Santucci.

Both were found guilty of using and attempting to use banned substances.

The swimmers were linked to nutritionist Guido Porcellini, who was banned for 30 years for distributing illegal drugs.

Magnini, who won the 100-meter freestyle at the 2005 and 2007 world championships and a relay bronze at the 2004 Olympics, has never tested positive and maintains that he never doped. He was an outspoken critic of doping throughout his career, having taken part in an "I am doping free" initiative.

Magnini says, "I didn't do anything. This sentence is ridiculous."

The anti-doping prosecutor was seeking an eight-year ban for Magnini.

Santucci teamed with Magnini when Italy won bronze in the 4x100-meter relay at the 2015 worlds.



Families impacted by 2012 Sandy Hook shooting buy coffee for Pittsburgh

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Pittsburgh • Over the weekend, patrons of a Pittsburgh neighborhood coffee shop received free coffee from families in Connecticut who were also impacted by a deadly shooting.

Commonplace Coffee in Squirrel Hill says it received a $650 donation from a group of family and alumni at the Fraser Woods Montessori School in Newtown. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports Kathy Craughwell-Varda, who raised the funds, says she remembers the terror she felt during the 2012 Sandy Hook Elementary School shooting and wanted to let Squirrel Hill residents know people around the country were thinking of them.

Craughwell-Varda says more will be needed in days ahead for the city still reeling from the Oct. 27 rampage that left 11 people dead at the Tree of Life synagogue. Craughwell-Varda says small gestures like buying coffee matter.

BYU basketball coach Dave Rose signs a one-year contract extension that will take him through 2020-21 season

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Provo • Fears that BYU basketball coach Dave Rose would step down when his contract expires after the 2019-20 basketball season are apparently unfounded.

BYU athletic director Tom Holmoe announced Tuesday that Rose has signed a one-year extension that will take him through the 2020-21 season. Terms of the agreement were not revealed because BYU is a private institution and not subject to open records laws.

Rose begins his 14th season at the helm Tuesday night when the Cougars take on No. 7 Nevada in Reno. He had agreed to a five-year contract on Feb. 9, 2015 that would have taken him through next season.

“It is a privilege to be the head coach at BYU,” Rose said in a school news release. “I am proud of everything we have accomplished and am excited about the future.”

Rose enters the 2018-19 season with a 329-122 overall record, the second-most wins in program history behind Hall of Fame coach Stan Watts. Rose’s win percentage of 72.9 is the best in BYU history and seventh among active NCAA Division I head coaches.

Asked about his future at the West Coast Conference media event last month in Las Vegas, Rose told The Salt Lake Tribune that he has thought about retiring but cannot see himself doing anything else. He turns 61 next month.

“It is funny because I can’t see myself not doing this, because it is what I’ve always done,” he said. “I think anybody, when they reach 60, thinks about it. I think we can all admit the fact that I’ve probably coached more games in my life than I am going to coach.

“ So I do think about it,” he continued. “But the honest truth is that I don’t want to think about it and I don’t really want to talk about it beyond that. … So I would be lying if I said I don’t think about it, but when I start to think about it, I just hope it never happens. That’s the way I feel right now.”

Rose said recent scans for cancer in April and September were clear and his health is fine. He was diagnosed with a cancerous tumor on his pancreas in 2009.

“Things are great. Usually there is some type of a scan. I got a scan in April and one in September. “April one was great and the September one was even better, so right now things are really good. Just the challenge that I deal with is I kinda I live my life six months at a time. Right now, these next six months are going to be great,” he said on Oct. 18.

Holmoe said Rose will be remembered as one of the best coaches in school history.

“Dave has brought us a high level of competitive basketball for 13 years,” Holmoe said. “His consistency and stability are two qualities that have been mainstays of the program. We look forward to continued success and we are excited about this coming season.

Rose succeeded Steve Cleveland in 2015 and has led BYU to 13-straight seasons with 20-plus wins, eight NCAA tournament appearances and five NIT appearances.


Idahoans to decide on Medicaid expansion

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Boise, Idaho • Of all the decisions Idaho voters are making on election day, the decision on whether to expand Medicaid to more low-income Idahoans might be the one that hits closest to home for many.

The citizen initiative called Proposition 2 would expand Medicaid coverage to potentially more than 60,000 low-income adults across the state. Those residents are dubbed the "gap population," people who make too much to qualify for Medicaid in its current form but don't earn enough to get subsidized health insurance coverage under the state health insurance exchange.

Those living in the gap can find themselves with no way to get medical care except for emergency room settings, and the costs of those hospital visits often fall on hospitals, local municipalities and the state.

The Medicaid measure is one of several high-profile items before Idahoans on Tuesday's ballot, including a governor's race, a schools superintendent contest and other measures.

Proponents of Proposition 2 say that expanding Medicaid coverage to that impoverished but uninsured population would ultimately drive down state health costs by reducing the costs of indigent care borne by local governments and health care facilities. The Medicaid expansion would be primarily covered by federal tax dollars, although the state would also have to kick in a portion of funding. Still, proponents say the state would also save money because it would allow working low-income Idahoans to be healthier, able to contribute to the economy and care for their families.

But opponents say Medicaid expansion would be bad for the state and it could pull state money from other needs like education and infrastructure. They also argue that allowing able-bodied low-income adults to access Medicaid would serve as a financial shortcut for some rather than expecting them to come up with ways to cover their own health care costs.

Voters in Idaho aren't the only residents to be considering Medicaid expansion election day. Nebraska and Utah have similar ballot initiatives, and an initiative in Montana seeks to raise a tobacco tax to keep funding a Medicaid expansion that is set to expire.

Another ballot initiative, Proposition 1, is also drawing voters. Proposition 1 would legalize historical instant horse racing terminals, slot-like betting machines that allow players to place bets based on horse races that happened in the past. The machines have had a contentious past in Idaho, with lawmakers first approving them in 2013 after proponents said the machines would raise money needed to help keep the struggling horse racing industry alive.

But lawmakers made that decision mostly sight unseen. Once they realized the machines included slot machine-like features - including videos of rolling wheels with cherries, diamonds and other more traditional slot-machine images - some lawmakers had second thoughts.

In 2015, lawmakers repealed the instant horse racing law, and though Gov. C.L. "Butch" Otter vetoed the repeal, he missed the veto deadline and the veto didn't survive a court challenge.

That's when proponents of horse racing and the instant racing terminals launched an effort to bring them back through a ballot initiative. Proposition 1 seeks to legalize historical horse race betting at race tracks where the state has already allowed live or simulcast racing.

Proponents have said the revenue from instant racing is needed to keep Idaho's horse-racing industry alive. The initiative calls for 90 cents of every dollar wagered to go toward bettors' winnings. Nine cents from every dollar would go toward expenses, races purses and profits. And a penny of each dollar would also go to the Idaho Racing Commission, to be split between public schools and other programs.

Opponents, meanwhile, contend Proposition 1 is actually about casino-style gambling rather than horse racing, and that struggling private businesses shouldn't get special exceptions to the law designed simply to keep them afloat.

Both Proposition 1 and 2 in Idaho had to reach a high bar just to make it to the ballot. That's because Gov. C.L. "Butch" Otter signed legislation in 2013 toughening the requirements for citizen initiatives and referendum measures to qualify for a statewide ballot. The move came after Idaho voters used initiatives to ditch unpopular school reform efforts the Legislature had approved the previous year.

The tougher rules meant that instead of needing signatures 6 percent of registered voters to qualify a measure for the ballot, proponents now had to get signatures from 6 percent of the registered voters (at least 56,000 people) in at least 18 of Idaho's 35 legislative districts.

The enthusiasm appeared to carry through in early voting on both initiatives.

David Lopez, a Boise software engineering, said Medicaid expansion was his priority on the ballot.

"I want it more accessible for people. That's the most important thing by far," Lopez said after casting a ballot during early voting at Boise City Hall last week.

Terence Lamanna, a retired Boise resident, said Proposition 1 is the biggest issue on the ballot for him this year.

“I’m a big horse racing fan,” Lamanna said, saying the historical horse racing terminals are needed to keep the industry alive.

Real Salt Lake bracing for an aggressive start from Sporting Kansas City in Leg 2 on Sunday

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Herriman • Throughout the first 45 minutes of Real Salt Lake’s draw against Sporting Kansas City on Sunday, there wasn’t much action. Maybe it was tired legs for RSL. Maybe it was a defensive strategy for SKC. Maybe it was both.

Sporting head coach Peter Vermes, however, put it into words.

“I think both teams were almost feeling each other out,” Vermes said after the game. “‘Who’s going to do what?’ And nobody ever took the game.”

But on Sunday in Leg 2 of the Western Conference semifinals, there won’t be time for an exploratory feeling-out process. RSL knows with Sporting KC in their natural habitat, it will come out striking hard, looking for an early lead.

And because it knows this, RSL has zeroed in on a specific open stretch of the game to oscillate the momentum back in its direction.

“It’s going to be a tough first 15-20 minutes for sure because they’re going to come at us,” Salt Lake head coach Mike Petke said Tuesday after training. “They have an unbelievable environment and we have to manage the game a little bit.”

Petke might have a point. In the 28 regular-season games between RSL and SKC all time, Sporting has scored 13 goals in the first 30 minutes of play. Real, on the other hand, has scored eight.

This season, however, SKC has scored 16 total goals in the first 30 minutes against all opponents, while RSL has scored 18. Those numbers do not differentiate home and road games.

Corey Baird, who was named MLS Rookie of the Year on Monday, said it will be imperative for the team not to start slowly and to not let SKC’s crowd get into the game early.

“When they start getting into a rhythm, they’re a very dangerous team,” Baird said. “So just breaking them up as much as possible and just going at them.”

Thus far in the postseason, RSL has proven it has the capability of defending when it needs to, evidenced by a stellar performance against Los Angeles Football Club last week. But Sporting — the top team in the West — is a different animal, especially at home, Petke said.

“At home, they’re extremely aggressive, both attacking and defending,” Petke said. “And even though that they’re good at it, it’s still hard to stop.”

But the RSL coach, who has a 5-2-3 all-time record against SKC in the regular season, expressed confidence that if his team can just hold off its opponent Sunday for the first 15-20 minutes, Real will get its chances to score.

“We have to be organized,” Petke said. “We have to not give them anything, if that’s possible. And then as that happens, as the game gets more and more and opens up, there will be more room to play. It’s inevitable.”

Amazon considering New York amid reports HQ will be split

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New York • After a yearlong search for a second home, Amazon is now reportedly looking to build offices in two cities instead of one, a surprise move that could still have a major impact on the communities it ultimately selects.

One of the areas the online retail giant is considering is New York's Long Island City, according to a source familiar with the talks. The neighborhood, across the East River from Manhattan, is fast-changing, where many high-rise towers have replaced empty warehouses.

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo met two weeks ago with Amazon officials in his New York City offices, according to the source, who was not authorized to discuss the negotiations and spoke on condition of anonymity. The source said Cuomo offered to travel to Amazon's Seattle hometown to continue talks.

Cuomo told reporters Tuesday that winning over Amazon would give an economic boost to the entire state. He also joked that he was willing to change his name to "Amazon Cuomo" to lure the company.

In addition to Long Island City, The New York Times reported Monday that Amazon is also finalizing a deal to locate to the Crystal City section of Arlington, Virginia, just outside Washington, D.C. The Wall Street Journal, which was first to report the plan to split the headquarters between two cities, said Dallas is also still a possibility. Both newspapers cited unnamed people familiar with the decision-making process,

Amazon.com Inc., which has said it plans to make a final decision before the end of the year, has declined to comment on the reports.

There's been intense competition to win over Amazon, with some throwing billions in tax incentives to the company. Amazon kicked off its hunt for a second headquarters in September 2017, initially receiving 238 proposals before narrowing the list to 20 in January.

Long Island City and Crystal City would meet Amazon's requirements for a new locale: Both are near metropolitan areas with more than a million people, have nearby international airports, direct access to mass transit and have room for the company to expand.

Selecting those areas would bring more jobs to areas that already have plenty.

"The speculation that Amazon might choose the D.C. area and New York is a much less radical move than many imagined," said Jed Kolko, the chief economist at job site Indeed, adding that it would be another example of "rich places getting richer."

The company had originally promised to bring 50,000 new high-paying jobs to one location, which founder and CEO Jeff Bezos said would be "a full equal" to its Seattle home base. Amazon may now split those jobs equally between two locations, The Wall Street Journal reported.

Jay Ash, the economic development chief in Massachusetts, said Tuesday that he's had "no recent contact" with Amazon about a headquarters in Boston, but his office is still talking with the company about other opportunities. Earlier this year, Amazon unveiled plans for an office expansion in Boston's Seaport District, promising 2,000 new technology jobs by 2021 in fields including machine learning and robotics.

Other cities on the list, including Dallas, declined to comment.

Amazon has said it could spend more than $5 billion on the new headquarters over the next 17 years, about matching the size of its current home in Seattle, which has 33 buildings, 23 restaurants and 40,000 employees.

The company already employs 600,000. That's expected to increase as it builds more warehouses across the country to keep up with online orders. Amazon recently announced that it would pay all its workers at least $15 an hour, but the employees at its second headquarters will be paid a lot more — an average of more than $100,000 a year.

Earlier this month, Bezos said during an on-stage interview in New York that the final decision will come down to intuition.

"You immerse yourself in that data, but then you make that decision with your heart," he said.

Klepper reported from Albany, New York. AP Technology Writer Matt O’Brien also contributed to this report from Providence, Rhode Island.


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